(3) 对致命争斗的统计:第一集,战争的时机 The Statistics of Deadly Quarrels, Part 1: the Timing of Wars |
                    
人性中的善良天使
                 
                
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            Lewis Richardson wrote that his quest to analyze peace with numbers sprang from two prejudices. As a Quaker, he believed that "the moral evil in war outweighs the moral good, although the latter is conspicuous." As a scientist, he thought there was too much moralizing about war and not enough knowledge: "For indignation is so easy and satisfying a mood that it is apt to prevent one from attending to any facts that oppose it. If the reader should object that I have abandoned ethics for the false doctrine that 'tout comprendre c'est tout pardonner' [to understand all is to forgive all], I can reply that it is only a temporary suspense of ethical judgment, made because 'beaucoup condamner c'est peu comprendre' [to condemn much is to understand little]."
            
                
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                    (3) 对致命争斗的统计:第一集,战争的时机 The Statistics of Deadly Quarrels, Part 1: the Timing of Wars
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